Whale Move of the Week — Example Edition
A recurring breakdown of one notable whale move on Polymarket: who moved, how much, on which side, and what it might mean. This first edition is an example that doubles as the template — every wallet, market, and number here is a labelled sample, not a real on-chain record.
Sample data. The figures below are illustrative. Real editions will cite verifiable on-chain wallets and resolved outcomes.
The market
From a market_whales snapshot of "Example Macro Market A":
| Field | Value (sample) |
|---|---|
| Whales in market | 9 |
| Total whale exposure | $280,000 |
| YES / NO split | 28% / 72% |
| Top-whale concentration | 33% |
| Reversal index | 0.44 |
Whales lean NO by better than two to one.
The position
The largest wallet on the NO side:
| Field | Value (sample) |
|---|---|
| Wallet | 0xExampleWhale…a91 |
| Outcome | No |
| Net size | $92,000 |
| Avg entry price | 0.62 |
| Current price | 0.58 |
| PnL status | winning |
| Unrealized PnL | +$5,900 |
The read
The market is roughly a coin flip on price, but whale money is 72% on NO and the biggest wallet is already in profit on that side. A single dominant wallet at 33% concentration is worth noting — it means the lean is one conviction position as much as a crowd of whales. That's the kind of disagreement between price and smart money the reversal index is built to flag.
The caveat
One wallet is an anecdote, not a strategy. This whale could be wrong, hedging an off-platform position, or simply early and forced to wait. The point of the series isn't to copy trades — it's to build intuition for what large, one-sided, well-timed flow looks like before the price reacts.
How these are sourced
Every edition starts from the actor's market_whales and whales actions: rank markets by reversal index, pull the position detail, and pick the one with the cleanest story. You can run the same screen yourself — see the API. The free tier is enough to find your own move of the week.