whale index

Biggest whale moves this week

The Polymarket markets where the most whale money moved over the last 7 days — which side large wallets backed, with how much, and how concentrated the flow is. Real on-chain data from the apimie whale ledger; refreshed each publish.

Snapshot · week ending July 29, 2026 · whales = wallets trading >$10k in a single position

01

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

whales favor No·100% one-sided·one-wallet conviction
$1.27M
whale buy
2 whale wallets
top wallet 62% ($793K)
02

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?

whales favor Yes·100% one-sided·whale consensus
$1.11M
whale buy
4 whale wallets
top wallet 54% ($601K)
03
$614K
whale buy
24 whale wallets
top wallet 36% ($224K)
04
$484K
whale buy
8 whale wallets
top wallet 21% ($99K)
05

Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

whales favor No·100% one-sided·whale consensus
$420K
whale buy
10 whale wallets
top wallet 12% ($50K)
06
$403K
whale buy
10 whale wallets
top wallet 48% ($195K)
07

Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-25?

whales favor Yes·100% one-sided·single wallet
$237K
whale buy
1 whale wallets
top wallet 100% ($237K)
08

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins

whales favor Miami Marlins·63% one-sided·split flow
$186K
whale buy
4 whale wallets
top wallet 39% ($72K)
09

Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5

whales favor Under·100% one-sided·single wallet
$156K
whale buy
1 whale wallets
top wallet 100% ($156K)
10

New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies

whales favor Philadelphia Phillies·100% one-sided·single wallet
$152K
whale buy
1 whale wallets
top wallet 100% ($152K)

How to read it. A high top-wallet share means one wallet's conviction is driving the flow; a low share across several wallets means whales independently landed on the same side. Whale counts here are small on purpose — only positions above $10k are counted, so a market with two or three of them is normal and one with twenty is unusual. Neither is a recommendation: it is where the largest money sat this week, before the markets resolved.

We tested whether this flow actually predicts outcomes on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. You can pull the same data yourself from the API — the free tier is enough.

Track the whales yourself