markets

Polymarket markets by whale activity

Every market where wallets moved serious size over the last 30 days — $93.39M across 2417 fills of $10,000 or more. Each page shows which side the whales took, the price they paid, and the individual trades, each linked to its transaction on-chain. Open questions are listed first; decided ones are kept as a record.

300 markets · snapshot 2026-09-28 · whale = single fill ≥ $10,000

still open (21)

Questions the market has not answered yet.

01

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

whales favor No·86% of buy flow·entry 85¢whale consensus
$718K
20 wallets
02

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 90¢one-wallet conviction
$327K
9 wallets
03

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

whales favor Yes·67% of buy flow·entry 24¢contested
$318K
10 wallets
04

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 96¢near-certain entry
$284K
7 wallets
05

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 56¢whale consensus
$266K
12 wallets
06

Eagles vs. Bears

whales favor Eagles·100% of buy flow·entry 66¢one-wallet conviction
$221K
2 wallets
07

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

whales favor No·90% of buy flow·entry 92¢near-certain entry
$200K
3 wallets
08

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 79¢one-wallet conviction
$177K
5 wallets
09

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees

whales favor Tampa Bay Rays·100% of buy flow·entry 42¢whale consensus
$159K
4 wallets
10

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 95¢near-certain entry
$141K
6 wallets
11

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 94¢near-certain entry
$136K
5 wallets
12

US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?

whales favor Yes·87% of buy flow·entry 89¢one-wallet conviction
$129K
3 wallets
13

UFC Fight Night: Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura (Bantamweight, Main Card)

whales favor Rinya Nakamura·100% of buy flow·entry 77¢one-wallet conviction
$124K
2 wallets
14

Wisconsin vs. Penn State

whales favor Penn State·100% of buy flow·entry 79¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$122K
1 wallet
15

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 96¢near-certain entry
$117K
4 wallets
16

Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 48.5

whales favor Under·55% of buy flow·entry 50¢contested
$114K
5 wallets
17

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

whales favor No·54% of buy flow·entry 60¢contested
$113K
7 wallets
18

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 84¢whale consensus
$109K
5 wallets
19

Ole Miss vs. Florida

whales favor Florida·84% of buy flow·entry 84¢one-wallet conviction
$109K
5 wallets
20

Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves

whales favor Atlanta Braves·100% of buy flow·entry 68¢one-wallet conviction
$105K
2 wallets
21

Army vs. Temple

whales favor Army·100% of buy flow·entry 73¢whale consensus
$101K
3 wallets

already decided (279)

Kept as a record of how large wallets positioned while these were still open — useful for checking whether the flow was right, not for following it.

01

Broncos vs. Chiefs

whales favor Broncos·50% of buy flow·entry 45¢contested
$5.30M
11 wallets
02

Lions vs. Bills

whales favor Bills·100% of buy flow·entry 72¢one-wallet conviction
$3.71M
11 wallets
03

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

whales favor Yes·86% of buy flow·entry 81¢whale consensus
$2.69M
56 wallets
04

Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?

whales favor Yes·65% of buy flow·entry 52¢one-wallet conviction
$2.64M
7 wallets
05

Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?

whales favor Yes·78% of buy flow·entry 55¢one-wallet conviction
$2.50M
11 wallets
06

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

whales favor Yes·50% of buy flow·entry 40¢contested
$2.38M
53 wallets
07

Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?

whales favor Yes·88% of buy flow·entry 61¢one-wallet conviction
$1.87M
8 wallets
08

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 99.8¢near-certain entry
$1.46M
18 wallets
09

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-09?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 81¢one-wallet conviction
$1.39M
2 wallets
10

Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09?

whales favor Yes·98% of buy flow·entry 61¢one-wallet conviction
$1.34M
7 wallets
11

Giants vs. Rams

whales favor Rams·83% of buy flow·entry 79¢whale consensus
$1.34M
18 wallets
12

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?

whales favor Yes·88% of buy flow·entry 50¢one-wallet conviction
$1.30M
11 wallets
13

Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers

whales favor Detroit Tigers·97% of buy flow·entry 63¢one-wallet conviction
$1.15M
3 wallets
14

Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?

whales favor Yes·58% of buy flow·entry 44¢one-wallet conviction
$1.09M
6 wallets
15

Colts vs. Chiefs

whales favor Chiefs·66% of buy flow·entry 71¢contested
$1.03M
19 wallets
16

Rams vs. Broncos

whales favor Broncos·61% of buy flow·entry 52¢contested
$1.03M
28 wallets
17

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 99.2¢near-certain entry
$942K
9 wallets
18

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 65¢one-wallet conviction
$916K
5 wallets
19

US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp

whales favor Alexander Zverev·98% of buy flow·entry 88¢one-wallet conviction
$911K
3 wallets
20

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

whales favor Yes·98% of buy flow·entry 87¢whale consensus
$893K
31 wallets
21

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?

whales favor Yes·96% of buy flow·entry 53¢one-wallet conviction
$831K
8 wallets
22

Falcons vs. Packers

whales favor Falcons·84% of buy flow·entry 84¢whale consensus
$712K
14 wallets
23

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz

whales favor Ben Shelton·55% of buy flow·entry 35¢contested
$698K
18 wallets
24

Vikings vs. Buccaneers

whales favor Vikings·59% of buy flow·entry 68¢contested
$697K
19 wallets
25

Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-13?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 57¢one-wallet conviction
$625K
3 wallets
26

Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 43.5

whales favor Under·89% of buy flow·entry 53¢one-wallet conviction
$618K
6 wallets
27

Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-08-30?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 94¢near-certain entry
$608K
7 wallets
28

Steelers vs. Patriots

whales favor Patriots·71% of buy flow·entry 72¢one-wallet conviction
$564K
7 wallets
29

Spread: Lions (-6.5)

whales favor Jets·97% of buy flow·entry 48¢one-wallet conviction
$555K
5 wallets
30

US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx

whales favor Karen Khachanov·59% of buy flow·entry 67¢contested
$537K
8 wallets
31

Chiefs vs. Dolphins

whales favor Chiefs·85% of buy flow·entry 87¢one-wallet conviction
$516K
9 wallets
32

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B

whales favor Alliance·84% of buy flow·entry 64¢one-wallet conviction
$502K
7 wallets
33

49ers vs. Rams

whales favor Rams·72% of buy flow·entry 66¢one-wallet conviction
$458K
10 wallets
34

US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov

whales favor Alexander Zverev·85% of buy flow·entry 83¢one-wallet conviction
$454K
5 wallets
35

Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-11?

whales favor Yes·93% of buy flow·entry 47¢one-wallet conviction
$445K
3 wallets
36

US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Coco Gauff

whales favor Mirra Andreeva·64% of buy flow·entry 47¢contested
$438K
8 wallets
37

US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul

whales favor Tommy Paul·85% of buy flow·entry 69¢one-wallet conviction
$415K
6 wallets
38

Spread: Broncos (-2.5)

whales favor Broncos·91% of buy flow·entry 52¢whale consensus
$415K
6 wallets
39

US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro

whales favor Jessica Pegula·57% of buy flow·entry 76¢contested
$402K
5 wallets
40

Packers vs. Jets

whales favor Jets·57% of buy flow·entry 39¢contested
$390K
11 wallets
41

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen

whales favor Frances Tiafoe·74% of buy flow·entry 53¢contested
$383K
12 wallets
42

Raiders vs. Chargers

whales favor Raiders·92% of buy flow·entry 73¢whale consensus
$374K
9 wallets
43

Raiders vs. Saints

whales favor Saints·72% of buy flow·entry 71¢contested
$373K
17 wallets
44

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12?

whales favor Yes·97% of buy flow·entry 65¢one-wallet conviction
$373K
5 wallets
45

Spread: BAL (-8.5)

whales favor NO·54% of buy flow·entry 51¢one-wallet conviction
$365K
2 wallets
46

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?

whales favor Yes·51% of buy flow·entry 77¢contested
$359K
10 wallets
47

Panthers vs. Falcons

whales favor Falcons·75% of buy flow·entry 43¢whale consensus
$354K
9 wallets
48

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?

whales favor Yes·94% of buy flow·entry 94¢near-certain entry
$349K
12 wallets
49

Titans vs. Giants

whales favor Giants·100% of buy flow·entry 56¢one-wallet conviction
$347K
6 wallets
50

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 99.8¢near-certain entry
$341K
4 wallets
51

US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 99¢near-certain entry
$338K
5 wallets
52

Barranquilla: Julieta Pareja vs Lucrezia Stefanini

whales favor Julieta Pareja·51% of buy flow·entry 51¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$336K
1 wallet
53

Giants vs. Rams: O/U 47.5

whales favor Under·87% of buy flow·entry 51¢one-wallet conviction
$326K
5 wallets
54

US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien

whales favor Learner Tien·75% of buy flow·entry 58¢whale consensus
$318K
7 wallets
55

Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)

whales favor Colts·96% of buy flow·entry 54¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$316K
2 wallets
56

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 41¢one-wallet conviction
$300K
4 wallets
57

Minnesota vs. Washington

whales favor Minnesota·60% of buy flow·entry 53¢contested
$300K
5 wallets
58

Ravens vs. Cowboys

whales favor Cowboys·55% of buy flow·entry 43¢contested
$298K
14 wallets
59

Spread: Bills (-6.5)

whales favor Lions·100% of buy flow·entry 54¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$297K
1 wallet
60

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 61¢whale consensus
$292K
3 wallets
61

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 99.2¢near-certain entry
$290K
11 wallets
62

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-30?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 43¢one-wallet conviction
$289K
2 wallets
63

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 84¢whale consensus
$288K
8 wallets
64

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 81¢one-wallet conviction
$284K
5 wallets
65

Dolphins vs. 49ers

whales favor 49ers·73% of buy flow·entry 93¢near-certain entry
$281K
6 wallets
66

Cowboys vs. Giants

whales favor Giants·85% of buy flow·entry 77¢whale consensus
$280K
9 wallets
67

Vikings vs. Bears

whales favor Vikings·68% of buy flow·entry 39¢contested
$279K
8 wallets
68

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

whales favor Anyones Legend·59% of buy flow·entry 47¢contested
$279K
8 wallets
69

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-11?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 53¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$279K
1 wallet
70

Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)

whales favor Seahawks·100% of buy flow·entry 51¢one-wallet conviction
$277K
5 wallets
71

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

whales favor Hanwha Life Esports·55% of buy flow·entry 39¢contested
$277K
11 wallets
72

Spread: Rams (-6.5)

whales favor Rams·77% of buy flow·entry 52¢one-wallet conviction
$273K
4 wallets
73

Commanders vs. Cowboys

whales favor Cowboys·94% of buy flow·entry 72¢whale consensus
$273K
6 wallets
74

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs

whales favor MOUZ·67% of buy flow·entry 37¢contested
$272K
8 wallets
75

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B

whales favor Vitality·78% of buy flow·entry 68¢one-wallet conviction
$270K
5 wallets
76

Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)

whales favor Dolphins·100% of buy flow·entry 53¢one-wallet conviction
$268K
6 wallets
77

Seahawks vs. Cardinals

whales favor Seahawks·100% of buy flow·entry 66¢one-wallet conviction
$264K
4 wallets
78

Panthers vs. Browns

whales favor Browns·75% of buy flow·entry 47¢one-wallet conviction
$258K
4 wallets
79

Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs

whales favor 1WIN·68% of buy flow·entry 61¢contested
$255K
7 wallets
80

Patriots vs. Seahawks

whales favor Patriots·71% of buy flow·entry 62¢one-wallet conviction
$254K
9 wallets
81

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner

whales favor Dplus KIA·88% of buy flow·entry 68¢one-wallet conviction
$254K
8 wallets
82

Exact Score: RC Deportivo A Coruña 2 - 2 Valencia CF?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 99.9¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$250K
1 wallet
83

Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

whales favor Cincinnati Reds·87% of buy flow·entry 39¢one-wallet conviction
$249K
6 wallets
84

Florida State vs. Alabama

whales favor Alabama·100% of buy flow·entry 87¢whale consensus
$246K
8 wallets
85

Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26?

whales favor Yes·66% of buy flow·entry 51¢one-wallet conviction
$246K
3 wallets
86

Spread: 49ers (-7.5)

whales favor Cardinals·51% of buy flow·entry 50¢one-wallet conviction
$246K
2 wallets
87

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs

whales favor Legacy·70% of buy flow·entry 67¢one-wallet conviction
$246K
4 wallets
88

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

whales favor Ben Shelton·56% of buy flow·entry 77¢contested
$245K
5 wallets
89

Houston Astros vs. Athletics

whales favor Houston Astros·83% of buy flow·entry 69¢whale consensus
$239K
6 wallets
90

Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)

whales favor Seahawks·75% of buy flow·entry 47¢one-wallet conviction
$238K
3 wallets
91

Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Ignacio Buse

whales favor Ignacio Buse·77% of buy flow·entry 52¢one-wallet conviction
$235K
6 wallets
92

UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)

whales favor Joshua Van·77% of buy flow·entry 59¢whale consensus
$232K
6 wallets
93

US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe

whales favor Frances Tiafoe·52% of buy flow·entry 54¢contested
$232K
11 wallets
94

Patriots vs. Jaguars

whales favor Jaguars·91% of buy flow·entry 60¢one-wallet conviction
$229K
5 wallets
95

US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet

whales favor Dane Sweeny·100% of buy flow·entry 63¢one-wallet conviction
$228K
6 wallets
96

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-08-31?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 44¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$226K
1 wallet
97

LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner

whales favor BNK FEARX·90% of buy flow·entry 84¢whale consensus
$225K
6 wallets
98

US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz

whales favor Carlos Alcaraz·100% of buy flow·entry 94¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$225K
1 wallet
99

Clemson vs. California

whales favor Clemson·57% of buy flow·entry 58¢contested
$224K
9 wallets
100

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

whales favor Invictus Gaming·58% of buy flow·entry 71¢contested
$224K
9 wallets
101

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

whales favor T1·70% of buy flow·entry 40¢contested
$224K
6 wallets
102

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?

whales favor Yes·88% of buy flow·entry 85¢one-wallet conviction
$220K
7 wallets
103

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-17?

whales favor Yes·67% of buy flow·entry 60¢contested
$220K
6 wallets
104

Eagles vs. Titans

whales favor Eagles·52% of buy flow·entry 75¢contested
$218K
4 wallets
105

US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx

whales favor Alexander Blockx·58% of buy flow·entry 59¢contested
$216K
10 wallets
106

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs

whales favor G2·56% of buy flow·entry 42¢contested
$216K
6 wallets
107

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-30?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 71¢one-wallet conviction
$213K
2 wallets
108

Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5

whales favor Over·100% of buy flow·entry 47¢one-wallet conviction
$213K
2 wallets
109

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-09?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 95¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$212K
1 wallet
110

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner

whales favor Gen.G·52% of buy flow·entry 82¢contested
$210K
10 wallets
111

Valorant: TYLOO vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C

whales favor TYLOO·68% of buy flow·entry 34¢one-wallet conviction
$208K
4 wallets
112

Seahawks vs. Commanders

whales favor Seahawks·69% of buy flow·entry 72¢one-wallet conviction
$207K
4 wallets
113

James Madison vs. San Diego State

whales favor James Madison·88% of buy flow·entry 93¢near-certain entry
$207K
3 wallets
114

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 81¢one-wallet conviction
$205K
5 wallets
115

Louisville vs. Ole Miss

whales favor Ole Miss·51% of buy flow·entry 83¢contested
$202K
5 wallets
116

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-05?

whales favor No·86% of buy flow·entry 73¢one-wallet conviction
$201K
2 wallets
117

Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-07?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 66¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$199K
1 wallet
118

Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-09-07?

whales favor No·86% of buy flow·entry 67¢one-wallet conviction
$198K
2 wallets
119

Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-09-08?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 38¢one-wallet conviction
$198K
4 wallets
120

US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Elena Rybakina

whales favor Elena Rybakina·53% of buy flow·entry 57¢contested
$195K
4 wallets
121

Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

whales favor Los Angeles Dodgers·100% of buy flow·entry 64¢one-wallet conviction
$193K
4 wallets
122

LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winner

whales favor T1·100% of buy flow·entry 99.9¢near-certain entry
$192K
4 wallets
123

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-13?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 51¢one-wallet conviction
$190K
2 wallets
124

Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers

whales favor Detroit Tigers·100% of buy flow·entry 57¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$190K
1 wallet
125

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner

whales favor Anyones Legend·88% of buy flow·entry 80¢whale consensus
$188K
7 wallets
126

US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

whales favor Stefanos Tsitsipas·57% of buy flow·entry 78¢contested
$186K
7 wallets
127

US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton

whales favor Alexander Zverev·100% of buy flow·entry 83¢one-wallet conviction
$186K
10 wallets
128

LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

whales favor Top Esports·63% of buy flow·entry 45¢contested
$185K
5 wallets
129

US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi

whales favor Alexander Zverev·91% of buy flow·entry 96¢near-certain entry
$184K
7 wallets
130

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

whales favor Bilibili Gaming·70% of buy flow·entry 73¢contested
$183K
7 wallets
131

Bengals vs. Texans

whales favor Texans·69% of buy flow·entry 57¢contested
$182K
8 wallets
132

Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-09-09?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 97¢near-certain entry
$180K
2 wallets
133

Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-29?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 55¢one-wallet conviction
$179K
2 wallets
134

New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins

whales favor Minnesota Twins·86% of buy flow·entry 51¢whale consensus
$179K
7 wallets
135

Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-09-09?

whales favor Yes·94% of buy flow·entry 53¢one-wallet conviction
$174K
2 wallets
136

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 94¢near-certain entry
$171K
7 wallets
137

UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)

whales favor Sumudaerji·100% of buy flow·entry 66¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$171K
1 wallet
138

US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev

whales favor Andrey Rublev·61% of buy flow·entry 52¢one-wallet conviction
$171K
3 wallets
139

US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng

whales favor Qinwen Zheng·74% of buy flow·entry 57¢contested
$171K
9 wallets
140

Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens

whales favor Elise Mertens·68% of buy flow·entry 63¢one-wallet conviction
$169K
5 wallets
141

SMU vs. Florida State

whales favor SMU·69% of buy flow·entry 60¢contested
$169K
7 wallets
142

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner

whales favor Hanwha Life Esports·67% of buy flow·entry 67¢contested
$168K
6 wallets
143

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner

whales favor Bilibili Gaming·71% of buy flow·entry 69¢contested
$168K
7 wallets
144

Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-09-07?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 57¢one-wallet conviction
$164K
2 wallets
145

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner

whales favor Top Esports·69% of buy flow·entry 99¢near-certain entry
$164K
8 wallets
146

Porto: Facundo Mena vs Hugo Dellien

whales favor Hugo Dellien·100% of buy flow·entry 69¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$163K
2 wallets
147

US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Potapova

whales favor Mirra Andreeva·100% of buy flow·entry 81¢one-wallet conviction
$163K
4 wallets
148

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 63¢one-wallet conviction
$163K
3 wallets
149

Spread: Rams (-1.5)

whales favor Broncos·100% of buy flow·entry 52¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$160K
1 wallet
150

Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 99.5¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$159K
1 wallet
151

San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds

whales favor San Diego Padres·100% of buy flow·entry 56¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$159K
1 wallet
152

Ohio State vs. Texas

whales favor Ohio State·87% of buy flow·entry 83¢one-wallet conviction
$157K
3 wallets
153

LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner

whales favor T1·100% of buy flow·entry 85¢whale consensus
$157K
4 wallets
154

FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5

whales favor Over·100% of buy flow·entry 52¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$156K
1 wallet
155

LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner

whales favor KT Rolster·77% of buy flow·entry 92¢near-certain entry
$156K
8 wallets
156

Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina

whales favor Liberty·61% of buy flow·entry 64¢contested
$154K
5 wallets
157

Spread: Chargers (-6.5)

whales favor Raiders·100% of buy flow·entry 49¢one-wallet conviction
$153K
2 wallets
158

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner

whales favor Gen.G·100% of buy flow·entry 74¢one-wallet conviction
$153K
2 wallets
159

Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)

whales favor Nottingham Forest FC·67% of buy flow·entry 58¢contested
$153K
3 wallets
160

US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev

whales favor Andrey Rublev·69% of buy flow·entry 67¢contested
$153K
6 wallets
161

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner

whales favor Invictus Gaming·75% of buy flow·entry 49¢one-wallet conviction
$152K
6 wallets
162

Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B

whales favor FaZe·59% of buy flow·entry 60¢one-wallet conviction
$150K
5 wallets
163

US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz

whales favor Carlos Alcaraz·100% of buy flow·entry 93¢near-certain entry
$149K
3 wallets
164

Chargers vs. Bills

whales favor Bills·100% of buy flow·entry 59¢one-wallet conviction
$148K
4 wallets
165

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner

whales favor Xtreme Gaming·91% of buy flow·entry 92¢near-certain entry
$147K
5 wallets
166

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

whales favor Hanwha Life Esports·51% of buy flow·entry 51¢one-wallet conviction
$146K
5 wallets
167

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

whales favor MOUZ·56% of buy flow·entry 45¢one-wallet conviction
$145K
3 wallets
168

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05?

whales favor Yes·81% of buy flow·entry 85¢whale consensus
$144K
9 wallets
169

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

whales favor T1·100% of buy flow·entry 46¢one-wallet conviction
$144K
6 wallets
170

LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs

whales favor Invictus Gaming·55% of buy flow·entry 57¢one-wallet conviction
$144K
4 wallets
171

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?

whales favor Yes·89% of buy flow·entry 63¢one-wallet conviction
$143K
3 wallets
172

Texans vs. Colts

whales favor Colts·100% of buy flow·entry 56¢whale consensus
$142K
6 wallets
173

Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-10?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 49¢one-wallet conviction
$142K
3 wallets
174

US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz

whales favor Carlos Alcaraz·84% of buy flow·entry 90¢near-certain entry
$141K
5 wallets
175

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs

whales favor JD Gaming·68% of buy flow·entry 47¢contested
$140K
5 wallets
176

Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-05?

whales favor No·72% of buy flow·entry 51¢one-wallet conviction
$140K
3 wallets
177

Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 95¢near-certain entry
$140K
3 wallets
178

Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D

whales favor NRG·100% of buy flow·entry 51¢one-wallet conviction
$139K
3 wallets
179

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov

whales favor Ben Shelton·100% of buy flow·entry 88¢one-wallet conviction
$138K
3 wallets
180

Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend

whales favor Taylor Townsend·100% of buy flow·entry 62¢whale consensus
$138K
6 wallets
181

Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5

whales favor Over·100% of buy flow·entry 49¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$137K
1 wallet
182

LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner

whales favor JD Gaming·100% of buy flow·entry 93¢near-certain entry
$137K
7 wallets
183

Arizona State vs. Kansas

whales favor Arizona State·100% of buy flow·entry 67¢one-wallet conviction
$137K
2 wallets
184

Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-09-12?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 53¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$136K
1 wallet
185

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 99.8¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$136K
2 wallets
186

Houston vs. Texas Tech

whales favor Texas Tech·87% of buy flow·entry 70¢whale consensus
$135K
5 wallets
187

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

whales favor Alex Michelsen·88% of buy flow·entry 87¢whale consensus
$134K
4 wallets
188

Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

whales favor Arizona Diamondbacks·91% of buy flow·entry 59¢one-wallet conviction
$134K
2 wallets
189

Spread: Bills (-5.5)

whales favor Lions·53% of buy flow·entry 50¢contested
$134K
4 wallets
190

Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-09-09?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 98¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$134K
1 wallet
191

Spread: Eagles (-4.5)

whales favor Commanders·92% of buy flow·entry 46¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$134K
2 wallets
192

Seahawks vs. Cardinals: O/U 41.5

whales favor Over·100% of buy flow·entry 50¢one-wallet conviction
$132K
3 wallets
193

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 94¢near-certain entry
$132K
5 wallets
194

Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

whales favor Arizona Diamondbacks·68% of buy flow·entry 56¢one-wallet conviction
$132K
3 wallets
195

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 89¢one-wallet conviction
$132K
4 wallets
196

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

whales favor JD Gaming·59% of buy flow·entry 63¢contested
$130K
7 wallets
197

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5

whales favor Over·64% of buy flow·entry 46¢one-wallet conviction
$130K
2 wallets
198

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner

whales favor T1·100% of buy flow·entry 98¢near-certain entry
$130K
7 wallets
199

Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-06?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 54¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$130K
1 wallet
200

Will San Marino win on 2026-09-26?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 99.7¢near-certain entry
$129K
2 wallets
201

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner

whales favor Gen.G·100% of buy flow·entry 78¢one-wallet conviction
$129K
4 wallets
202

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner

whales favor Gen.G·100% of buy flow·entry 68¢one-wallet conviction
$129K
2 wallets
203

Browns vs. Buccaneers

whales favor Buccaneers·78% of buy flow·entry 78¢whale consensus
$128K
4 wallets
204

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-30?

whales favor Yes·76% of buy flow·entry 39¢one-wallet conviction
$127K
4 wallets
205

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner

whales favor Invictus Gaming·100% of buy flow·entry 51¢one-wallet conviction
$127K
6 wallets
206

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 95¢near-certain entry
$127K
5 wallets
207

North Carolina vs. Clemson

whales favor North Carolina·78% of buy flow·entry 41¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$126K
2 wallets
208

Spread: Bills (-7.5)

whales favor Chargers·85% of buy flow·entry 52¢whale consensus
$126K
6 wallets
209

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner

whales favor T1·100% of buy flow·entry 73¢whale consensus
$125K
8 wallets
210

Tiburon: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Tyler Zink

whales favor Abedallah Shelbayh·100% of buy flow·entry 88¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$125K
2 wallets
211

Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-29?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 56¢one-wallet conviction
$125K
3 wallets
212

Rams vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5

whales favor Under·84% of buy flow·entry 52¢one-wallet conviction
$125K
3 wallets
213

Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?

whales favor Yes·90% of buy flow·entry 64¢one-wallet conviction
$124K
3 wallets
214

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

whales favor Top Esports·100% of buy flow·entry 54¢one-wallet conviction
$124K
3 wallets
215

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner

whales favor JD Gaming·58% of buy flow·entry 47¢one-wallet conviction
$123K
5 wallets
216

Spread: FC Schalke 04 (-1.5)

whales favor FC Bayern München·100% of buy flow·entry 99¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$123K
1 wallet
217

Guadalajara Open Akron, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Nicole Melichar

whales favor Nicole Melichar·50% of buy flow·entry 51¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$123K
1 wallet
218

Bengals vs. Steelers

whales favor Bengals·75% of buy flow·entry 61¢whale consensus
$122K
4 wallets
219

Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-08-29?

whales favor Yes·76% of buy flow·entry 44¢one-wallet conviction
$122K
2 wallets
220

Spread: Bears (-4.5)

whales favor Vikings·90% of buy flow·entry 50¢one-wallet conviction
$122K
3 wallets
221

US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic

whales favor Novak Djokovic·54% of buy flow·entry 73¢contested
$121K
6 wallets
222

New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels

whales favor New York Yankees·100% of buy flow·entry 51¢one-wallet conviction
$121K
3 wallets
223

Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)

whales favor Coventry City FC·92% of buy flow·entry 40¢one-wallet conviction
$121K
2 wallets
224

Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A

whales favor NIP·100% of buy flow·entry 56¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$120K
1 wallet
225

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B

whales favor Legacy·63% of buy flow·entry 38¢contested
$120K
6 wallets
226

Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

whales favor Naoya Honda·100% of buy flow·entry 83¢one-wallet conviction
$119K
2 wallets
227

US Open ATP: Jaume Munar vs Terence Atmane

whales favor Jaume Munar·100% of buy flow·entry 71¢whale consensus
$119K
5 wallets
228

Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?

whales favor No·81% of buy flow·entry 55¢whale consensus
$119K
6 wallets
229

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

whales favor Hanwha Life Esports·64% of buy flow·entry 43¢contested
$118K
6 wallets
230

Guangzhou: Maxim Zhukov vs Thijmen Loof

whales favor Thijmen Loof·100% of buy flow·entry 54¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$118K
1 wallet
231

LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs

whales favor JD Gaming·100% of buy flow·entry 85¢one-wallet conviction
$118K
5 wallets
232

Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5

whales favor Over·100% of buy flow·entry 52¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$118K
1 wallet
233

Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-09-05?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 51¢one-wallet conviction
$118K
2 wallets
234

Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox

whales favor Boston Red Sox·82% of buy flow·entry 49¢one-wallet conviction
$118K
2 wallets
235

SMU vs. Louisville

whales favor Louisville·100% of buy flow·entry 59¢whale consensus
$117K
3 wallets
236

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner

whales favor Hanwha Life Esports·100% of buy flow·entry 84¢whale consensus
$117K
4 wallets
237

LSU vs. Ole Miss

whales favor LSU·52% of buy flow·entry 42¢contested
$116K
7 wallets
238

Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?

whales favor No·89% of buy flow·entry 86¢one-wallet conviction
$116K
5 wallets
239

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton

whales favor Ben Shelton·55% of buy flow·entry 72¢contested
$115K
6 wallets
240

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs

whales favor Vitality·100% of buy flow·entry 73¢one-wallet conviction
$114K
6 wallets
241

Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants

whales favor San Francisco Giants·56% of buy flow·entry 42¢one-wallet conviction
$114K
3 wallets
242

Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska

whales favor Nadia Podoroska·52% of buy flow·entry 85¢one-wallet conviction
$114K
3 wallets
243

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 99.9¢near-certain entry
$114K
3 wallets
244

US Open ATP: Jaime Faria vs Carlos Alcaraz

whales favor Carlos Alcaraz·79% of buy flow·entry 89¢whale consensus
$113K
4 wallets
245

Spread: Saints (-3.5)

whales favor Saints·67% of buy flow·entry 49¢contested
$113K
4 wallets
246

Iowa vs. Michigan

whales favor Michigan·87% of buy flow·entry 73¢one-wallet conviction
$112K
3 wallets
247

UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

whales favor Ailin Perez·91% of buy flow·entry 60¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$111K
2 wallets
248

Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari

whales favor Thiago Seyboth Wild·71% of buy flow·entry 86¢one-wallet conviction
$111K
4 wallets
249

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs

whales favor G2·85% of buy flow·entry 64¢whale consensus
$111K
5 wallets
250

Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels

whales favor Los Angeles Angels·100% of buy flow·entry 51¢one-wallet conviction
$110K
2 wallets
251

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner

whales favor LGD Gaming·72% of buy flow·entry 58¢one-wallet conviction
$110K
3 wallets
252

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox

whales favor Chicago White Sox·64% of buy flow·entry 55¢one-wallet conviction
$110K
4 wallets
253

Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners

whales favor Seattle Mariners·62% of buy flow·entry 52¢one-wallet conviction
$109K
5 wallets
254

LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner

whales favor LYON·100% of buy flow·entry 68¢one-wallet conviction
$109K
5 wallets
255

Fed rate hike in 2026?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 89¢one-wallet conviction
$109K
5 wallets
256

Spread: Packers (-4.5)

whales favor Falcons·73% of buy flow·entry 49¢one-wallet conviction
$108K
3 wallets
257

Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers

whales favor Minnesota Twins·100% of buy flow·entry 47¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$108K
2 wallets
258

Rice vs. Fresno State

whales favor Fresno State·100% of buy flow·entry 70¢one-wallet conviction
$107K
2 wallets
259

US Open ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Alex Michelsen

whales favor Alex Michelsen·82% of buy flow·entry 54¢one-wallet conviction
$107K
3 wallets
260

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals

whales favor Arizona Diamondbacks·57% of buy flow·entry 50¢one-wallet conviction
$105K
2 wallets
261

Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)

whales favor Philadelphia Union·64% of buy flow·entry 46¢one-wallet conviction
$105K
3 wallets
262

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

whales favor BNK FEARX·64% of buy flow·entry 47¢contested
$105K
5 wallets
263

San Jose State vs. Eastern Michigan

whales favor Eastern Michigan·80% of buy flow·entry 58¢whale consensus
$105K
6 wallets
264

Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15?

whales favor Yes·74% of buy flow·entry 57¢contested
$105K
4 wallets
265

Cardinals vs. Chargers

whales favor Chargers·100% of buy flow·entry 82¢one-wallet conviction
$105K
3 wallets
266

Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)

whales favor France·100% of buy flow·entry 99.5¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$104K
1 wallet
267

LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

whales favor T1·100% of buy flow·entry 79¢one-wallet conviction
$104K
5 wallets
268

LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner

whales favor Team WE·100% of buy flow·entry 54¢one-wallet conviction
$104K
5 wallets
269

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets

whales favor New York Mets·100% of buy flow·entry 56¢one-wallet conviction
$104K
3 wallets
270

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies

whales favor Philadelphia Phillies·75% of buy flow·entry 81¢whale consensus
$104K
4 wallets
271

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 92¢near-certain entry
$103K
4 wallets
272

Singapore Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Maja Chwalinska

whales favor Maja Chwalinska·100% of buy flow·entry 91¢near-certain entry
$102K
2 wallets
273

US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mariano Navone

whales favor Tomas Etcheverry·59% of buy flow·entry 78¢contested
$102K
4 wallets
274

LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner

whales favor Invictus Gaming·100% of buy flow·entry 99.0¢near-certain entry
$102K
6 wallets
275

Virginia Tech vs. Maryland

whales favor Maryland·89% of buy flow·entry 44¢one-wallet conviction
$101K
3 wallets
276

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner

whales favor Sentinels·57% of buy flow·entry 90¢one-wallet conviction
$101K
3 wallets
277

Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 99.8¢near-certain entry
$101K
4 wallets
278

Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO5) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs

whales favor G2·61% of buy flow·entry 51¢contested
$101K
6 wallets
279

US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley

whales favor Martin Landaluce·100% of buy flow·entry 54¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$101K
2 wallets

What counts as a whale. A single fill of $10,000 or more. That bar is the same one used on the whale index, so the two pages can never disagree. A market gets a page once at least two such fills and $50,000 of whale volume have gone through it. Search engines are shown a much smaller set — open questions, plus decided markets that drew over $1M — because a finished market is a record worth keeping, not a result worth ranking.

Positioning is not prediction. We tested whether whale flow forecasts outcomes on hundreds of resolved markets and published the result, including where it fails — read the backtest.