Who bet on "Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance" — Polymarket whale activity
12 whale wallets moved $351K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-04, across 15 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to Argentina, at a volume-weighted entry of 94¢. The market last traded Argentina at 99.9¢.
- $351K
- whale volume
- 12
- whale wallets
- 15
- fills ≥ $10K
- 28%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
Argentina
12 wallets bought at an average of 94¢
last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-07-04
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 12 wallets put $351K into Argentina at around 94¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
The flow is spread across 12 wallets with the largest at 28% ($100K) — several participants independently taking the same yield, which is what an efficient market looks like rather than a signal.
The market has since converged — Argentina last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-07-04 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (8)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | 0x8325…19cc | BUY | Argentina | $86K | 95¢ |
| 2026-07-03 | 0xe907…cff6 | BUY | Argentina | $45K | 93¢ |
| 2026-07-03 | 0xa8ca…d535 | BUY | Argentina | $31K | 94¢ |
| 2026-07-04 | 0xd1ed…d7cb | BUY | Argentina | $30K | 94¢ |
| 2026-07-03 | 0x0a96…5dab | BUY | Argentina | $21K | 94¢ |
| 2026-07-03 | 0x8fbb…9a17 | BUY | Argentina | $19K | 93¢ |
| 2026-07-03 | 0xfaa2…e80a | BUY | Argentina | $19K | 93¢ |
| 2026-07-03 | 0x9952…9cba | BUY | Argentina | $18K | 94¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 276 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-07-27 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.