Who bet on "Dolphins vs. 49ers" — Polymarket whale activity
6 whale wallets moved $281K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-09-20, across 10 trades of $10,000 or more. 73% of their buy volume went to 49ers, at a volume-weighted entry of 93¢. The market last traded 49ers at 99.9¢.
- $281K
- whale volume
- 6
- whale wallets
- 10
- fills ≥ $10K
- 27%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
49ers
5 wallets bought at an average of 93¢
last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-09-20
Dolphins
1 wallet bought at an average of 11¢
last traded 0.1¢ on 2026-09-20
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 6 wallets put $281K into 49ers at around 93¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
The flow is spread across 6 wallets with the largest at 27% ($77K) — several participants independently taking the same yield, which is what an efficient market looks like rather than a signal.
The market has since converged — 49ers last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-09-20 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (8)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | 0x7c37…6aeb | BUY | Dolphins | $66K | 11¢ |
| 2026-09-20 | 0xccd8…f4de | BUY | 49ers | $64K | 98¢ |
| 2026-09-20 | 0x9f2f…2ca8 | BUY | 49ers | $40K | 89¢ |
| 2026-09-20 | 0xfea3…d227 | BUY | 49ers | $35K | 93¢ |
| 2026-09-20 | 0xf9fe…366b | BUY | 49ers | $21K | 89¢ |
| 2026-09-20 | 0xfea3…d227 | BUY | 49ers | $12K | 93¢ |
| 2026-09-20 | 0x5268…135d | BUY | 49ers | $11K | 89¢ |
| 2026-09-20 | 0x7c37…6aeb | BUY | Dolphins | $11K | 11¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-09-28 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.