Who's betting on "Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?"? — Polymarket whale activity
6 whale wallets moved $141K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-09-27, across 8 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry of 95¢. The market last traded No at 96¢.
- $141K
- whale volume
- 6
- whale wallets
- 8
- fills ≥ $10K
- 71%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
No
2 wallets bought at an average of 95¢
last traded 96¢ on 2026-09-28
Yes
0 wallets bought nothing here (whale flow was sells only)
last traded 3¢ on 2026-09-27
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 6 wallets put $141K into No at around 95¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
It is also mostly one actor: the largest wallet is 71% of the buy flow ($35K), so this is a single desk parking money rather than a crowd doing the same trade.
biggest whale fills (8)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | 0x1496…ee6f | BUY | No | $35K | 94¢ |
| 2026-09-11 | 0xb665…bf8f | SELL | No | $22K | 92¢ |
| 2026-09-11 | 0x3c91…9af7 | SELL | No | $16K | 93¢ |
| 2026-09-14 | 0xf285…1b96 | SELL | No | $15K | 93¢ |
| 2026-09-27 | 0xc078…1a70 | BUY | No | $15K | 97¢ |
| 2026-09-27 | 0xc078…1a70 | SELL | No | $14K | 96¢ |
| 2026-09-17 | 0x2889…9226 | SELL | Yes | $12K | 5¢ |
| 2026-09-10 | 0x2889…9226 | SELL | Yes | $12K | 6¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-09-28
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.