Who bet on "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 26?" — Polymarket whale activity

4 whale wallets moved $94K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-25, across 5 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to Yes, at a volume-weighted entry of 99.8¢. The market last traded Yes at 99.9¢.

near-certain entry·2026-07-252026-07-25·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000
$94K
whale volume
4
whale wallets
5
fills ≥ $10K
34%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

Yes

4 wallets bought at an average of 99.8¢

$80K
100% of buy flow

last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-07-26

how to read this

This is not a directional bet. 4 wallets put $94K into Yes at around 99.8¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.

The flow is spread across 4 wallets with the largest at 34% ($27K) — several participants independently taking the same yield, which is what an efficient market looks like rather than a signal.

The market has since converged — Yes last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-07-26 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.

biggest whale fills (5)

datewalletsideoutcomesizeprice
2026-07-250x34e8…065dBUYYes$27K99.8¢
2026-07-250x2322…3edeBUYYes$24K99.9¢
2026-07-250x8611…d340BUYYes$18K99.8¢
2026-07-250x2322…3edeSELLYes$14K99.9¢
2026-07-250x7fd7…5861BUYYes$11K99.9¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

markets with similar flow

This market is one of 276 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-07-27 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing

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