Who bet on "James Madison vs. San Diego State" — Polymarket whale activity
3 whale wallets moved $207K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-09-20, across 3 trades of $10,000 or more. 88% of their buy volume went to James Madison, at a volume-weighted entry of 93¢. The market last traded James Madison at 99.9¢.
- $207K
- whale volume
- 3
- whale wallets
- 3
- fills ≥ $10K
- 88%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
James Madison
1 wallet bought at an average of 93¢
last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-09-20
San Diego State
2 wallets bought at an average of 54¢
last traded 0.1¢ on 2026-09-20
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 3 wallets put $207K into James Madison at around 93¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
It is also mostly one actor: the largest wallet is 88% of the buy flow ($181K), so this is a single desk parking money rather than a crowd doing the same trade.
The market has since converged — James Madison last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-09-20 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (3)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | 0xf28e…cab2 | BUY | James Madison | $181K | 93¢ |
| 2026-09-19 | 0x2c33…0563 | BUY | San Diego State | $14K | 54¢ |
| 2026-09-20 | 0xf23c…9f81 | BUY | San Diego State | $11K | 55¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-09-28 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.